Today, the market opened higher under the influence of the external collective boom, but there was no continuity. It opened higher and killed the decline. It fluctuated and fell all the way. There was no sign of rebound at all. So why is there a big dive today? What happened? How will the market go next?
Why did you dive today? Why is the kill so serious? What happened? 1. Regarding today’s high opening, I think one is the collective surge in the external market, and the other is the US$190,000 billion economic stimulus, which is the most direct benefit to U.S. stocks, and it is also a short-term benefit to A-shares, because It will show the net inflow of funds into A shares. This has been mentioned twice in yesterday’s article, so we will not continue to talk about this issue today. 2. When more than 90% were rebounding yesterday, this amount of energy has shrunk severely. Yesterday, I told you clearly that there was a shrinkage under this situation, indicating that the bottom of the short-term market has not been determined. If there is a real bottom structure, then he will surely step out of the day and the volume can be greatly enlarged. Generally, the volume will increase by 10% year-on-year, but it did not appear yesterday, followed by a large number of high-priced stocks in the market today. In particular, Moutai, the leader in the brewing sector, which once again rises and falls, has fallen by more than 3%. Everyone knows that the brewing sector occupies too much of the value of the A stock market. Once they fall sharply, the impact on the market will be particularly strong. Today, the highest rate in the winemaking sector is that the entire sector has risen by more than 2%, and now it is down 0.6%, which means that the drop is close to 3%, so the direct impact on the A-share market, in fact, why this sector has such a trend In the previous article, I have talked to you about the rebound of some leading stocks in my brewing sector and the industry, which will inevitably trigger a reduction in the holdings of previous fund holders. Think about it, these stocks in the previous period, these funds are all There are already 15%~20% losses. If there is a slight rebound, do these people want to lighten up their positions and stop their losses? 3. The Hang Seng Index plunged sharply during the intraday session. At its peak, the intraday increase was close to 1%, and now the drop is close to 1%, of which nearly 2% from the highest point to the lowest point. Recently, the Hang Seng Index has also greatly affected our A shares. , Especially last week, I remember that everyone is very clear that after the Hang Seng Index plunged substantially, A shares also directly followed the market to dive. Now the Hang Seng Index is very close to the trend of A shares, and the linkage is very special. Strong, a little action will follow, so recently everyone should pay attention to the trend of the Hang Seng Index. 4. I remember that in yesterday’s article, I also talked to you about the issue of northbound funds. Last week, there was a large outflow of northbound funds. After a small inflow yesterday, it continues to show a large outflow today. This is similar to the large amount of US Treasury bonds. Selling is closely related. I also talked to you about this in yesterday’s article. If US Treasury bonds suffer a lot of selling, it will surely trigger a sell-off in the capital market, and the stock market is also the most direct impact on the capital market, especially some overvalued ones. Valuable stocks, such as Moutai, so this is one of the reasons why the market is falling today. 2. How will the market go next? 1. Recently, I have been repeatedly emphasizing, and I told you that I will focus on the 60-day moving average position of the Shanghai Composite Index. Why do I have to emphasize this position again and again? Because the 60 moving average is the bull-bear crossing of A shares, if the Shanghai Composite Index falls below the 60 moving average, it means entering a bear market. On the contrary, if it is still above the 60 moving average, it means that the market still has some hope. The 60 moving average position has reached the 3504 point position, pay attention, if it falls below this afternoon, it will trigger a greater level of diving and sell-off, and the trading volume will be further amplified, and the panic selling will become bigger and bigger. ,. 2. In the daily level, the Shanghai Composite Index has formed a trend of killing the middle yin line and has absorbed yesterday’s small Yang line. It should be noted that there is a gap at the daily level above the Shanghai Composite Index. It has not been returned, and today happens to be the third education. Usually a gap position. If it is not covered within three days, it means that the gap is very heavy and the gap has not been covered. Then I will fill it. I have already talked about that the live stock index is nailed to 30 to touch the 60-day moving average, then the 60-day moving average has not been broken today, and it will be broken tomorrow, so once the 60-day moving average breaks, it will form a larger level. I have remembered the smash, if you have a heavier position, you must remember to lighten up your position and continue to lighten your position. Don’t ask me why! 3. I have repeatedly emphasized in the previous period that the Shanghai Composite Index will cause a 500-point plunge, but now the Shanghai Composite Index has only plummeted by 200 points, and many stocks have 20% room to fall, and many people are obvious. Closed, there are many funds that have fallen by more than 15%. The frequency of the recent decline has been hotly searched. I think if it continues to plummet by 30%, many people may have doubts about life. In other words, there will be a 300-point decline in A shares. Space, many stocks will continue to show more than 20% downside, so the market risk will still be great in the future. More than 90% of people don’t believe that the Shanghai Composite Index mentioned by Super Brother will trigger a 500-point plunge. So far, only about 10% of Super Brother’s views have been recognized. Got it, if you approve of my likes and support it, don’t scold me if you don’t approve it, because I am just expressing my own opinions, I just share my own opinions with you, as for you, do you insist? That’s your business. Everyone is an adult and has their own ability to judge. I just want to say that it is a bit praiseworthy, please add it. If my answer is a little bit enlightening and helpful to you, please: 1. Like and support, it can also prevent you from not being able to find it in the future. When you want to see it, you can find it on your homepage, which is very convenient. 2. Original public Number: Wen Yanhao, daily review of selected hotspots. 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