Say the answer directly, impossible! Japan and South Korea have their particularities. It is not difficult to find that their economic rise has its special historical background and geopolitical background. There is the shadow of the United States behind it. U.S.-Japan relations and U.S.-South Korea relations also originated in World War II. The clash of forces between the United States and the Soviet Union in Asia also gave Japan a chance. During the Korean War and Vietnam War, a large number of US arms orders flew to Japan, allowing Japan to earn the first pot of gold in the post-war economic recovery, and the economy took off all the way after that. Until the “Plaza Agreement”, so far. South Korea also relied on US funding and technical support, and the Han River miracle appeared. Have you noticed that the United States has “garrisons” in Japan and South Korea! The United States basically does not need to guard against them. Every year, the United States also uses various means to “cut leeks” at the national level to restrict these Asian boys. Prevent them from becoming independent and sovereign states for their use. It is impossible for a country of the size of Vietnam to develop quickly in a location in South Asia without the support of a super empire. This super empire, the world can only be “America” ​​at present. In contrast, Vietnam has its own independent military power and a large amount of military expenditure. And it is a different “ideology” from the United States. Vietnam and the United States still have memories of the “Vietnam War” in modern times, and they cannot fully trust each other. It is also impossible for the United States to “raise tigers.” As an independent country, many competitions from surrounding countries make it difficult to stand out. Especially the bilateral relations with China play a decisive role in its economy, and it is still vacillating. In summary, in the future, Vietnam will not be able to rise like Japan and South Korea, and can only develop difficultly in the cracks of political power among major powers. The editor sincerely appreciates it 1 hour ago, and no one appreciates it yet. Come and be the first to appreciate it! ​Agree with 134​​24 comments​Share​Favorites​Like​Continue to browse the content Know almost to discover a bigger world Open Chrome to continue to be half-blind from the media manager of Jiangxi Renhe Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. 98 people agreed with the answer , No one can tell. Could it be that Vietnam invented a super weapon in the future? What if there is a superman in Vietnam? What if a meteorite falls into Vietnam every three to five, causing a surge of rare metals in Vietnam, just like Wakanda? What if the water in Vietnam is more cowhide than the water in the Ganges, and the IQ is directly raised to 250 after drinking it? Don’t underestimate the map of Vietnam, like a pole pole, one pole and one umbrella, travel all over the world to be your boss. Today you are indifferent to Vietnam. Tomorrow Vietnam will make you unable to climb high. Of course, the geographical environment and resources determine the launch of Vietnam. Is it not easy to understand that Emperor Jiaqing bestowed the country name on Vietnam? It is getting harder and harder to become a developed country. The pole is long, the bench is wide, and the pole wants to be tied to the bench. Tourism can’t do Thailand, dried fruit can’t do the Philippines, fisheries can’t do Japan, and food can’t do India. Yes, India, the world’s top country for hungry people, used to have higher food exports than Vietnam. Vietnam is a large agricultural country with 80% of the agricultural population, but before 2013, it could not do India. If there is anything worth saying about Vietnam, it is its nearly 100 million labor force. A large working population and cheap labor are Vietnam’s biggest advantages. Most of the hard drives we use are made in Vietnam. Once Vietnam flooded, the price of hard drives increased. (Reminded by the comment area, the price increase of hard drives is a big flood in Thailand. Vietnam is the CPU) The editor sincerely appreciates it 1 hour ago, and no one appreciates it yet. Come and be the first one! ​Agree with 98​​9 comments​Share​Favorite​Like​Collapse​Continue to browse the content Zhihu Discover a bigger world Open Chrome to continue Chu Yunjun waiting for the year and autumn, and Fenglin’s remnants, will never forget. 437 people agreed with the answer. It is unrealistic to reach the level of Japan and South Korea. Times have changed. “Classification” among countries around the world is quite serious. Developed countries occupy all high-end industries, while backward countries have very little added value from low-end industries. Without sufficient capital accumulation, there will be no technological breakthroughs, and then industrial upgrading and high-endization cannot be discussed. Both Japan and South Korea have taken advantage of the breakthrough of the special era, and in addition to their own efforts, they also have the full help of the influx of Western capital and technology transfer. Cheap labor is not special. If it were not for the threat from the other side of the Iron Curtain, the Western world would not go all out to help the development of the “First Island Chain”. Now… the evil red empire has collapsed, capitalism has undoubtedly ruled the world, and after neoliberalism has swept all countries, Western countries have already triumphed. Originally, allowing colored people like Japan and South Korea to board the boat was forced by the times, and there is no possibility that there will be another time. God is not Vietnamese, who cares about them? The gap between modern countries is bigger than that between people and dogs: some countries went into space decades ago, and some countries cannot even make basic daily necessities. Vietnam is not the worst group, but if you want to be a developed country (especially if you have a large population), you must make achievements in high-tech and mid-to-high-end industries. Take Vietnam’s richest man Fan Riwang as an example. His Vingroup is mainly engaged in real estate and hotels. The top few rich people in Vietnam are basically the same. Everyone is speculating on land and stocks. How much capital will flow into the real industry? Vietnam’s lack of top international universities has caused a large number of potential talents to flow out of Europe and the United States, which has also weakened its competitiveness. The opportunities of Japan and South Korea are very rare, and many advanced industrial countries in the West have invested in them without reservation. Not to mention that Vietnam seems to be a “global capital hotspot”, but it is based on Vietnam’s massive profit distribution. They are only arbitrage and rarely involve technology. Japan and South Korea are capitalist. They are ideologically consistent with Western developed countries. Can Vietnam do it? Vietnam is a communist country, and the current global developed countries are all capital camps…..This is unsolvable. They will never have the slightest trust in Conmi. Edited on 02-21 Sincerely appreciate, leave the fragrance to appreciate, no one appreciates yet, come and be the first to appreciate! ​Agree 437​​74 comments​Share​Favorites​Like​Collapse​Continue to browse the content Zhihu discover a bigger world Open Chrome to continue to be gentle and stainless steel, choose kindness and humor. And you, you still have the courage and wisdom. 33 people agreed. It’s difficult to answer. Because Japan and South Korea are special products under specific historical conditions, there will be no more. Developed countries do not currently have a clear definition, and they are generally judged by per capita GDP, science and technology level, and industrial level. Their main feature is that they have completed industrialization, and they are generally service-oriented. Most of the developed countries are in Europe, and only the United States and Canada in the Americas. There are profound historical reasons for these countries to become developed countries, and we will omit them here. There are only four developed countries in Asia: Japan, Singapore, South Korea, and Israel. Japan and South Korea are following the same path. They promote economic development through state investment and stimulating heavy industry, and rely on the implementation of a macro-planned economy to ensure the implementation of policies. This is to support the big chaebols with the power of the country, to develop heavy industry and build a good industry. Foundation, and then drive the economy to take off. The United States stands behind Japan and South Korea, and the United States supports Japan and South Korea to resist China. For Vietnam, there is no such good opportunity. Vietnam’s economy is a typical foreign trade economy, with total imports and exports reaching twice the GDP, but net exports only accounted for 3.4%. This means that what Vietnam undertakes is a hard work of re-export. Imported parts are assembled and shipped out, with very little added value. It is impossible to become a powerful country by working part-time. To become a developed country, there must be one or two big industries that can generate huge profits. This requires the completion of industrialization, and to complete industrialization, heavy industry must be developed. Otherwise, there will be no raw material production capacity and machine production capacity, and large quantities of imports will be required, which will greatly restrict Vietnam’s development. However, heavy industry requires concentrated investment from the state. To put it bluntly, it requires state support. Under the current background, it is difficult for Vietnam to support private chaebols to develop heavy industry. This road is nowhere. So what should Vietnam do? You can look at Singapore. In the 1980s, Singapore was only a production and processing base in the global economic chain. After completing his early primitive accumulation, Lee Kuan Yew slowly transformed Singapore into a commercial center, focusing on finance, education, and IT software. However, Singapore also has its unique geographical location, which cannot be compared to Vietnam. For Vietnam, the Singapore model is a feasible way. After completing capital accumulation, find your own high-value-added industries. This industry is more difficult to find. It requires local companies and government financial support to make one or two “gambling on national luck” investments, and at the same time defeat the original opponents. The following is Vietnam’s own plan for 2025. Vietnam will develop into a developing country with modern industries and surpassing low-middle income. In 2030, the 100th anniversary of the founding of the Vietnamese Party, Vietnam will become a developing country with modern industries and high and middle income. In 2045, the 100th anniversary of the founding of the Socialist Republic of Vietnam, it will become a developed high-income country. In other words, Vietnam plans to enter the ranks of developed countries in 25 years. In 25 years, the road is long and there will be many bumps. “Cross the river by feeling China” and explore slowly. Edited 4 hours ago​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​ entries chapter, ​​articles, 33​​​​​​​ Answer: Is it possible for Vietnam to surpass Japan in the future? 19 answers Do Vietnamese girls really want to marry China? 7 answers Will Vietnam become the hegemon of Southeast Asia? 10 answers Vietnam belongs to East Asia or Southeast Asia? 30 answers related recommendations teach you how to play land in the three Southeast Asian countries during the Spring Festival to go to Southeast Asia to avoid the cold and dry goods. Before going to Cambodia, you have to understand this war advertisement Liu Kanshan knows the guide knows the agreement knows the privacy protection guidelines application job application

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helpmekim
7 months ago

Both Japan and South Korea have taken advantage of the breakthrough of the special era, and in addition to their own efforts, they also have the full help of the influx of Western capital and technology transfer. Cheap labor is not special. If it were not for the threat from the other side of the Iron Curtain, the Western world would not go all out to help the development of the “First Island Chain”. Now… the evil red empire has collapsed, capitalism has undoubtedly ruled the world, and after neoliberalism has swept all countries, Western countries have already triumphed. Originally, allowing colored people like Japan and South Korea to board the boat was forced by the times, and there is no possibility that there will be another time. God is not Vietnamese, who cares about them?

heloword
7 months ago

The gap between modern countries is bigger than that between humans and dogs: some countries went into space decades ago, and some countries cannot even make basic daily necessities. Vietnam is not the worst group, but if you want to be a developed country (especially if you have a large population), you must make achievements in high-tech and mid-to-high-end industries. Take Vietnam’s richest man Fan Riwang as an example. His Vingroup is mainly engaged in real estate and hotels. The top few rich people in Vietnam are basically like this. Everyone is speculating on land and stocks. How much capital will flow into the real industry? Vietnam’s lack of top international universities has caused a large number of potential talents to flow out of Europe and the United States, and also weakened its competitiveness.

helpyme
7 months ago

The opportunities of Japan and South Korea are very rare, and many advanced industrial countries in the West have invested in them without reservation. Not to mention that Vietnam seems to be a “global capital hotspot”, but it is based on Vietnam’s massive profit distribution. They are only arbitrage and rarely involve technology. Japan and South Korea are capitalist. They are ideologically consistent with Western developed countries. Can Vietnam do it? Vietnam is a communist country, and the current global developed countries are all capital camps…..This is unsolvable. They will never have the slightest trust in Conmi.

sina156
7 months ago

Difficult. Because Japan and South Korea are special products under specific historical conditions, there will be no more. Developed countries do not currently have a clear definition, and they are generally judged by per capita GDP, science and technology level, and industrial level. Their main feature is that they have completed industrialization, and they are generally service-oriented. Most of the developed countries are in Europe, and only the United States and Canada in the Americas. There are profound historical reasons for these countries to become developed countries, and we will omit them here. There are only four developed countries in Asia: Japan, Singapore, South Korea, and Israel. Japan and South Korea are following the same path. They promote economic development through state investment and stimulating heavy industry, and rely on the implementation of a macro-planned economy to ensure the implementation of policies. This is to support the big chaebols with the power of the country, to develop heavy industry and build a good industry. Foundation, and then drive the economy to take off.

yahoo898
7 months ago

The United States stands behind Japan and South Korea, and the United States supports Japan and South Korea to resist China. For Vietnam, there is no such good opportunity. Vietnam’s economy is a typical foreign trade economy, with total imports and exports reaching twice the GDP, but net exports only accounted for 3.4%. This means that what Vietnam undertakes is a hard work of re-export. Imported parts are assembled and shipped out, with very little added value. It is impossible to become a powerful country by working part-time. To become a developed country, there must be one or two big industries that can generate huge profits. This requires the completion of industrialization, and to complete industrialization, heavy industry must be developed. Otherwise, there will be no raw material production capacity and machine production capacity, and large quantities of imports will be required, which will greatly restrict Vietnam’s development. However, heavy industry requires concentrated investment from the state. To put it bluntly, it requires state support. Under the current background, it is difficult for Vietnam to support private chaebols to develop heavy industry.

leexin
7 months ago

The United States stands behind Japan and South Korea, and the United States supports Japan and South Korea to resist China. For Vietnam, there is no such good opportunity. Vietnam’s economy is a typical foreign trade economy, with total imports and exports reaching twice the GDP, but net exports only accounted for 3.4%. This means that what Vietnam undertakes is a hard work of re-export. Imported parts are assembled and shipped out, with very little added value. It is impossible to become a powerful country by working part-time. To become a developed country, there must be one or two big industries that can generate huge profits. This requires the completion of industrialization, and to complete industrialization, heavy industry must be developed. Otherwise, there will be no raw material production capacity and machine production capacity, and large quantities of imports will be required, which will greatly restrict Vietnam’s development. However, heavy industry requires concentrated investment from the state. To put it bluntly, it requires state support. Under the current background, it is difficult for Vietnam to support private chaebols to develop heavy industry.

greatword
7 months ago

The following is Vietnam’s own plan for 2025. Vietnam will develop into a developing country with modern industries and surpassing low-middle income. In 2030, the 100th anniversary of the founding of the Vietnamese Party, Vietnam will become a developing country with modern industries and high and middle income. In 2045, the 100th anniversary of the founding of the Socialist Republic of Vietnam, it will become a developed high-income country. In other words, Vietnam plans to enter the ranks of developed countries in 25 years. In 25 years, the road is long and there will be many bumps. “Cross the river by feeling China” and explore slowly.

loveyou
7 months ago

I think the prospects of Vietnam should be better than Guangxi, because it is really much more geographically superior than Guangxi. As for the coast & line, I really want to buy a sea view house. The north-south length of the straight tropical continental coastline is longer than that of Beijing to Shenzhen. Besides, Vietnam has 100 million people, and the countries with more than 100 million people are just those modern powers. But 100 million in Vietnam is only equivalent to one province in China, which is equivalent to one more developed province in China! China’s billions of people can develop, and Vietnam’s 100 million people are nothing at all. ——Then Eastern European and Latin American countries in the middle-income trap, not only do they stop growing after reaching 10,000. And they didn’t have such a speed at all before reaching ten thousand, it was very slow.

strongman
7 months ago

The original text of developed country is developed country-developed country. This is a relatively stable objective line, not simply divided by income. Whether it is a developed country or not is actually not necessarily related to a country’s “world ranking”. Sooner or later, all countries on the earth will become developed countries. Related to ranking are concepts such as “advanced/backward countries”, “dominant countries”, and “dominant countries”.

stockin
7 months ago

Is it more likely that Japan is gradually surpassed by South Korea? South Korea’s R&D investment ratio is higher. South Korea’s per capita GDP has been catching up with Japan. Japan’s per capita GDP has been stagnant. South Korea still has room for growth. South Korea is more like a wall between China and the United States than Japan. Han Yue is a more beautiful wall. Grass, and the two countries feel very similar to each other. They are both vassal kingdoms of the celestial dynasty. The more you want to escape the manipulation of the great powers, the more you struggle, the more you can’t be yourself. It should be South Korea that will have greater support for Vietnam in the future, and South Korea now has a lot of support for Vietnam. Vietnam also likes Korean culture. The two countries cherish each other. Although you are rich, you are not unified. Although I am poor, I am unified.

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