The Indian government predicted on April 25 that the country’s new crown epidemic may reach its peak in mid-May. Following Maharashtra, Gujarat and the capital New Delhi, Uttar Pradesh will become the next hot spot for the epidemic. By the end of this month, Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra and New Delhi will be the regions with the fastest new cases. When the epidemic reaches its peak in mid-May, India will have up to 500,000 new confirmed cases every day.

The Indian government is overly optimistic about the epidemic, and the outcome is completely uncontrollable. 1. The latest data is just the tip of the iceberg, 314,800/day is not even a fraction of the actual number of infections. 1. The positive rate of detection is too high, indicating a serious missed detection. From the perspective of detection capability, the daily detection capability does not exceed 1 million. From this data, we can see that in the 20 days from March 25 to April 15, India detected 15.437 million people, an average of 770,000 people per day. (1) According to the test data of 770,000, the positive rate is about 42.18%. (2) Fifty-three out of 188 people on the flight from India to Hong Kong were diagnosed with a diagnosis rate of 28.2%. 2. The high test positive rate indicates that the missed test is serious. According to our country’s routine, if a positive patient is detected, his close contacts and general contacts must be tested. Due to the low infection rate among close contacts, the positive rate after detection of general contacts is unlikely to be higher than 3%. The situation in India can only be said that even patients cannot be found, and the test results can only be seen as the results of a sample survey. 3. The population serum antibody data shows that the high infection rate has been maintained for a long time. New Delhi authorities have completed five antibody surveys. In the first survey conducted between June 27 and July 10, 2020, the COVID-19 antibody carrying rate in the samples was 22.9%, and the sample size was 21,387. August 2020 When the second survey was conducted in New Delhi, the positive rate of antibodies in the population of New Delhi was 29.1%, males 28.3%, females 32,2%, and the sample size was 15,000. The infection rate under 18 was 34.7%, the infection rate between 18 and 50 was 28.5%, and the infection rate was over 50. The infection rate was 31.2%. [2] [3] In the third survey in September 2020, the positive rate was about 33%. The fourth survey from October 15 to 21, 2020 involved 15,015 people, of which the infection rate was 26.1% for females and 25.06% for males. [4] In January 2021, the fifth survey of 60% of people in New Delhi was positive for antibodies, with a sample size of 28,000 and an infection rate of 60%. [5] [Global Times reporter Ni Hao] In the fifth round of serum antibody testing against the new coronavirus in India, 60% of the 28,000 samples from New Delhi were tested positive for seroantibodies. According to Indian media reports, there are about 20 million people in New Delhi, which means that at least 10 million people have been infected with the virus. This data is regarded by the Indian media as a great benefit in fighting the epidemic, and it is believed that New Delhi will achieve herd immunity just around the corner, or is moving towards herd immunity. The sixth investigation is currently underway, and the results have not been released. Comparing the data from Wuhan, my country: The National New Coronary Pneumonia Seroepidemiological Survey organized by the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention recently (end of 2020) shows that the positive rate of new coronary antibodies in the community population in Wuhan is 4.43%, and the positive rate of antibodies in other cities and prefectures of Wuhan, Hubei is 0.44%. Among more than 12,000 people in six provinces outside Hubei, only 2 cases of antibody positive were detected, and the positive rate was extremely low. 5. So a conclusion can be drawn: By January 2021, more than half of the people in New Delhi have basically been infected again. According to the traditional view, January has reached the level where most people have antibodies, not far from “herd immunity”, and the epidemic should gradually slow down. From the first picture, the detection capability has not changed much in the past six months, so the recent surge in cases reflects the increase in the population infection rate, which is inconsistent with the situation that “the majority of people will improve if they have an antibody epidemic.” 2. Possible reasons for the surge in cases: The virus continues to evolve to adapt to the environment with antibodies and vaccines. The new coronavirus is a positive-strand RNA virus with a high probability of natural mutation, reaching between 0.0001 and 0.000001. The larger the virus population (the more infected people) and the longer the duration of a single infection, the greater the probability of virus mutation. 1. The larger the virus population and the longer the infection time, the greater the probability of mutation (1) A large population will increase the probability of mutation. Assuming that the probability of a viable mutation of the virus in a certain patient, for a host population of n, the probability of a viable mutation of the virus is. Even if it is very low, as long as n is large enough, it will be close to 1. (2) The long infection time is conducive to the discovery of the new coronavirus with 18 mutation points in the body of the mutant Russian woman. Konstantin Krutovsky, a professor at the Department of Genomics and Bioinformatics at Siberian Federal University, pointed out that this research work has confirmed for the first time the fact that “the long-term existence of a new coronavirus in an organism will cause a large number of mutations. “. [6] A paper published in the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) on December 3 described an immunocompromised patient in Boston who was infected with the new coronavirus 154 days before his death. The researchers found several mutations in the strains extracted from his body, including the aforementioned N501Y. Researchers believe that the new crown variant strain B.1.1.7 may also originate from long-term patients with low immunity, and has gone through a long evolutionary process, and only spread the strain to the outside world in the later stages of infection. The gene sequence shows that this new coronavirus mutant strain has accumulated many mutations, which together lead to changes in the virus protein at 17 sites, of which 8 occur in the important spike protein (S protein). [7]2. Quantitative analysis The above analysis can get that the overall mutation probability of the virus is related to the virus population number (infected number * per capita virulent amount) and infection time, and P (virus mutation probability) can be obtained (number of patients * average duration of infection of patients) *The average number of patients carrying the virus),) In addition, if a patient is cured in a completely isolated environment (completely eliminated the virus), the mutant virus in his body will be “suffocated”. P (probability of mutation prevalence) = P (probability of viral mutation) the probability that a patient cannot infect the next healthy person)) so P (probability of mutation prevalence) ((number of patients * average duration of infection of patients * average number of patients with virus), ) The probability that the patient will not be able to infect the next healthy person)) 3. India has become a petri dish of the mutated virus. Because of the passive prevention of epidemics, most patients have been infected for a long time and most infected people move freely, so the mutation is very serious. India first discovered 240 mutated viruses at the end of February 2021. Later, in the samples collected from 18 states in India, 771 new coronavirus mutations were found in 771 samples. Among them, 736 were positive for the British variant, 34 were positive for the South African variant, and 1 was positive for the Brazilian variant, covering the global category. Subsequently, the researchers found as many as 7684 virus variant genomes in more than 5,000 samples, which means that some patients were infected with more than one variant virus. [8] 4. Antibodies and vaccines are the selection pressure of virus evolution. Selection pressure is a concept in evolutionary ecology. It refers to the pressure exerted by the external environment on the evolution direction of the species. Different external pressures cause the species to evolve in different directions. If: the selection pressure of a gene is 0.001, then a dominant gene with a frequency of 0.00001 can be increased to a frequency of 0.99 with only 23,400 generations. In nature, when the selection is high, new varieties can be formed in a short period of time. For example, when penicillin was invented, bacteria generally did not have drug resistance. In an environment where antibiotics were commonly used, a small number of resistant bacteria were screened out and became the mainstream. The population change under high selection pressure is “natural selection, survival of the fittest”. If a virus has the characteristics of being able to adapt to the environment, its spread will increase significantly, thus occupying a major proportion. Third, the evolution direction of the virus 1. Stronger heat resistance. According to the general law of respiratory infectious diseases, viruses rely on droplets to spread, and droplets cannot exist for a long time in hot weather. Therefore, under normal circumstances, respiratory diseases are only high in the cold season. The recent outbreak in India shows that the virus has fully adapted to the high temperature environment in India. 2. It is more transmissible. 3. It can continue to spread among people with antibodies. The Ministry of Health of India pointed out in a statement that the new mutant new coronavirus discovered in the state of Maharashtra in the country has double mutations, and the strain samples Two mutations, E484Q and L452R, appeared at the same time, which may weaken the immune effect and become more infectious. This double mutant virus has been named “B.1.617” and is currently spreading rapidly in India. The E484Q mutation is similar to the E484K mutation carried by the mutant strains found in South Africa and Brazil. The E484K mutation is also called “escape mutation” because it can change the shape of the viral spike protein and protect the virus from vaccines or antibodies caused by early new coronavirus infections. The L452R mutation that was discovered in Denmark and California is also believed to be able to escape cellular immunity. According to Sujeet Singh, an official in charge of the Indian disease control project, in Delhi, a region with a population of more than 20 million, half of the confirmed cases were infected with the mutant strain, and many of them were young infected. 5. May resist existing vaccines. After universal vaccination, viruses that do not have vaccine-resistant properties will soon be eliminated. If patients who happen to have vaccine-resistant mutant strains are not in an isolated environment, such mutant viruses are likely to spread and become mainstream strains. 5. The direction of the lethal mutation is uncertain. Because the new crown has a long incubation period and can be transmitted during the incubation period, the disease is long and slow to death, even if the fatality rate is high, it will not have a significant impact on the transmissibility. Therefore, the prevalent virus must be a more transmissible species, but not necessarily a less lethal species. 6. If you are repeatedly infected with multiple strains, it may also trigger the antibody-dependent enhancement effect (ADE effect). After a person is infected with the new crown again, the antibody originally produced by the body may not work against the mutated virus. And at this time, because the human immune system mistakenly believes that the virus has been “suppressed”, the human immune system is completely defenseless against the virus at this time. This will cause this patient to have more severe symptoms after being infected with the mutated virus than those without antibodies. 4. Impact on the international epidemic prevention situation. Due to the poor public health level in India, the large number of infected people, and the serious cross-infection of different strains, it is almost inevitable to develop strains that are more transmissible and more resistant to antibodies and vaccines. Strains will develop under selective pressure. Since many countries have not quarantined and rigorously tested all incoming Indians, the mutant strain is expected to have spread to other countries. Only countries with strict prevention and control such as China can maintain relative security, but the risk of imported epidemics will also increase, and prevention cannot be relaxed. 5. Summarizing the history of human development is almost the history of fighting the virus. There are only a limited number of infectious diseases that can be eliminated by humans, such as smallpox. Therefore, the virus should not be underestimated and the virus will remain unchanged. After the vaccine is in place The epidemic can be completely ended. When considering epidemic prevention measures, the evolutionary factors of the virus should be taken into account: 1. Do your best to achieve “collection due to collection”, only to isolate and treat all infected persons to eliminate the possibility of the spread of the mutant virus. 2. Vaccines should be popular, but the effectiveness of vaccines should not be overestimated, thinking that there are vaccines and everything will be fine.
Influenza, like the new crown, is also prone to mutations. Influenza vaccines continue to be developed, but the influenza viruses that circulate every year may be different, resulting in a decline in immune effectiveness.

  1. When using vaccines, we should cooperate with isolation and epidemiological investigation measures. Although we cannot prevent the production of mutant strains that weaken the effectiveness of the vaccine, we can prevent the spread of possible vaccine-resistant strains.

By zhiwo

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5 months ago

This kind of news has been read and laughed, so don’t take it seriously. Because it’s really in the middle of May, who else will remember the mouth cannon that was released a month ago. Last year, how many developed countries guessed the peak, and the result is too many times to be beaten. Now Schrodinger’s India is also coming to guess the peak. Do you think it is credible? The mutated virus in India must now have spread to all parts of the world. Don’t even try to escape from Europe, America, Japan, etc. If there is anything to watch, it depends on whether widespread vaccination can effectively curb the spread of the virus. If an ADE effect is created, there will be no solution for Western society, and it may end up as a result of “no freedom but death”. I hope this is just a conjecture, and I hope this world is not so far.

Last edited 5 months ago by heloword
5 months ago

Don’t look at it. In India, it is not surprising that the virus has evolved to a high fatality rate. The petri dish of one billion people is terrible to think about. Moreover, based on the fact that India’s news management and control and the fester of grassroots governance are carried out almost simultaneously, one cannot expect India to make an objective estimate of the current situation. It can be considered that India’s chaotic governance coupled with its huge population makes investigation and prevention difficult. In addition, the population mobility in the South Asia-Middle East region… In addition, the mutual attacks between parties have never ceased. After so many years of Hindu nationalism, the ability to build consensus and control the grassroots is still a mess. On the contrary, the government is unable to manage large-scale religious festivals due to religious baggage (the prohibition of religious activities by religious governments is a paradox) . At the same time, a clear and unmistakable strategy will be difficult because of party issues. Not to mention the Indian people’s characteristic of dumping the pot. After dumping them internally and continuing on the outside, I am afraid that I will have to pay more attention to the borders to prevent provocation and infection. However, on the positive side, it is difficult to undertake the transfer of manufacturing in the short term for the situation in India, and the development of manufacturing in India is also difficult. It may not be good for us, and no one knows when this vicious circle in India will end. It is not necessarily a bad thing in terms of our interests. I personally do not dislike India for continuing to rotten, but considering the unknowable harm caused by the possibility of virus mutation, I still hope that the epidemic in India can be brought under control as soon as possible. The case of last year also proved that the high temperature has a limited impact on the virus. May may be a peak, but it is definitely not the end. As far as India is concerned, life is unnecessary, but it is not an exaggeration to say that it has experienced huge difficulties. After all, the development of India’s generic drug industry does not mean that its medical level is developed. Impact on the world. . . It’s not worth optimistic. In particular, when Western countries gradually lift restrictions, and our country’s vaccination penetration rate is not very high, it’s another counterattack if we don’t pay attention. After all, we are unlikely to close our country completely. Therefore, it is hoped that India will accept professional investigations and necessary medical support in an open and responsible manner, so as to prevent the virus from mutating further and harming the world.

5 months ago

Looking at the comments of Indians on Twitter, the dead Indian talents are good third brothers. The main remarks of the Indians: 1. The virus originated from China, and China triggered a global epidemic crisis 2. Taiwan and Hong Kong are independent countries 3. Oppression in XJ 4. China is evil. I think it’s the public enemy of all mankind. Take advantage of the chaos. Detonating internal conflicts in India, destroying India’s economy, and letting Indians fight on their own is the survival rule of the international community.

5 months ago

India’s epidemic is out of control and the health system has collapsed. Experts say that “the new peak in a single day has not yet arrived.” Recently, the prevention and control of the epidemic in India has almost fallen apart, triggering global focus. The crematorium melted, the remains of the crematorium piled up into mountains, and the corpses were burned in the street… this scene is like “purgatory on earth.” According to the data released by the Ministry of Health of India on the 25th, compared with the previous day, there were 349691 new confirmed cases of new crown, which has exceeded 300,000 new cases in a single day for 4 consecutive days. It is worth noting that it took only 8 days for India to add more than 200,000 newly diagnosed cases in a single day on April 15 to more than 300,000 newly diagnosed cases. Health system collapse: hospitals are overwhelmed. According to CCTV reports, data released by the Indian Ministry of Health on the 23rd showed that the capital New Delhi reported more than 26,000 new confirmed cases and 306 deaths that day, which means that one person died every 5 minutes. In the new coronary pneumonia. Due to the rapid increase in the number of new coronary pneumonia cases in New Delhi, all hospitals are overwhelmed. At present, public and private hospitals across India are facing difficulties such as tight clinical space and urgent medical oxygen. Many hospitals in the north and west, including the capital New Delhi, have issued warnings that the oxygen used to supply patients with the new crown is only sufficient for a few hours. Bahadur Hospital, located in the northeast of New Delhi, is one of the many local hospitals facing a shortage of medical resources. Some patients there died before being admitted to the hospital. A family member of a new coronary pneumonia patient said, “The current situation is very, very bad, very critical, and I feel that I have lost control. Although the staff are very cooperative, because there are many patients without appointments, the hospital is too crowded, and it is difficult to provide equal treatment for all patients. This is why the disease and death rate are high here, and the environment is very bad.” Due to the too many remains waiting in line for cremation, many relatives of the deceased in India began to burn their loved ones themselves; parks, streets, and the banks of the Ganges, There are fires and pits for corpses burning everywhere; what’s more, the metal parts of an incinerator in a crematorium in Surat, India, were roasted due to the long continuous operation time. Why did the Indian epidemic rebound so violently? According to the WHO, in the past week, nearly 28% of the world’s new cases came from India. “India has become the epicenter of the global new crown pneumonia epidemic”. Investigate the reason, virus mutation and vaccination have to be mentioned. According to the analysis of public health experts, the rebound of the current round of the epidemic in India may be related to the double mutant virus named B.1.617. This virus carries two key mutations, E484Q and L452R, making the virus more infectious and reducing the effectiveness of existing vaccines. Among those diagnosed with the new crown in India in the past two months, the proportion of patients infected with the mutant virus has reached 24%. In addition, data from the Indian health department show that India currently has only 132 million doses of vaccines, the country has nearly 1.4 billion people, and the vaccination rate is less than 10%. At the same time, the stocks of the two vaccines used in India are insufficient, and the vaccine stock at the vaccination point can only be maintained for 1 to 2 days. The latest crisis in India has triggered global vigilance, and some countries have begun to restrict flights and passengers from India. Canada announced that it would temporarily ban the entry of passenger flights departing from India; the United Kingdom included India on the list of countries prohibited from traveling; France issued new regulations, and all passengers from India must be quarantined from April 24; Australia announced that it would fly India The number of flights to Australia is temporarily reduced by 30%. Because of the rebound of the epidemic, Modi has cancelled plans to visit France and participate in the Indo-Europe summit. British Prime Minister Johnson and Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga have also cancelled plans to visit India. Experts predict that the epidemic will reach its peak in mid-May. As the epidemic continues to worsen, medical resources in many parts of India are in urgent need, and epidemic prevention and control measures have been tightened. Chief Minister Kejriwal of New Delhi, the Indian capital, announced on the 25th that the “closure” measures currently being implemented in New Delhi will be extended for one week until 5 a.m. on May 3. The Indian government predicts that the country’s new crown epidemic may reach its peak in mid-May. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi convened the chief ministers of the severely affected states on the same day to discuss the epidemic response. At the meeting, Vinod Paul, a member of the Indian National Transformation Council responsible for health, gave a presentation on the epidemic forecast. Paul said that by the end of this month, Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra and New Delhi will be the areas with the fastest new cases. When the epidemic reaches its peak in mid-May, India will have up to 500,000 new confirmed cases every day. Paul warned that “the densely populated states will face special risks, and the state’s health infrastructure will not be sufficient to deal with severe epidemics.” The government predicts that New Delhi will be short of 16061 beds with oxygen, about 2,877 intensive care beds and 1,450 units every day. Ventilator. Uttar Pradesh will be short of about 16,752 beds with oxygen, about 3061 intensive care beds and 1538 ventilators every day. Paul said that the current daily oxygen supply has increased by 3,300 tons and will increase the number of oxygen tankers from the current 1,172 to more than 2,000.

5 months ago

In an interview with the media, Jameel, a well-known virologist in India, said that the second wave of the epidemic may continue until the end of May, and that the number of new confirmed cases in a single day may exceed 300,000. (Source: digitpatrox ) However, two experts in the field of public health in India believe that single-day confirmed cases may reach a peak between the end of April and the beginning of May, and then gradually return to the normalized prevention and control stage. But I observed that these two people’s previous predictions about the epidemic situation were almost never accurate. In the past week, Indian media reported on the epidemic, the title is not separated from the word “scarce”: shortage of vaccines, shortage of medical oxygen, shortage of hospital beds… India’s fight against the epidemic is far more difficult than imagined, behind it is the construction of basic medical care and cold chain logistics. Weakness and helplessness. And this is just the tip of the iceberg of the chaotic situation in India. Vaccine waste, black market vaccination, falsified test results, etc., if you expand it, I am afraid it can be written… 1. Epidemic prevention measures are like “play house”. What I saw in New Delhi, the capital of India, is that everyone no longer has the same “awe of the virus” as before. The prevention measures such as wearing masks, taking body temperature, disinfecting, and maintaining necessary social distancing are also more like “walking through the scene.” At the Indian International Center in New Delhi, when I entered, the security at the door also asked to show the “Bridge of Anti-epidemic” (the Indian version of “Healthcare”), but if the visitor replied “No download” or simply ignored it, the security would not be compulsory. , Temperature measurement and disinfection are also more like “routines.” (“Anti-epidemic Bridge”. Photo courtesy of the author) Although the tea restaurant here still has a “separate dining” sign, it is almost a dead letter during the peak dining period, and no one observes it. 2. Politicians campaigned to promote the development of the epidemic. Large-scale gatherings such as weddings, festival celebrations, religious gatherings, and local elections also contributed to the spread of the epidemic. Local assembly elections are being held in five states including Bengal and Assam, as well as the Central Territory. Prime Minister Modi, cabinet ministers of the government, chief ministers of local states and other politicians travel to and from various states to participate in rallies and deliver speeches almost every day. (Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Information picture) The TV station showed that many people who did not wear masks gathered at the election event. According to local media reports, the newly diagnosed Chief Minister Yogi of Uttar Pradesh was probably infected while attending a campaign in West Bengal. 3. Religious gatherings are hard to stop. Recently, in Hridwar, tens of thousands of people gathered on the banks of the Ganges to pray and bathe in the water to celebrate the “Big Pot Festival.” “The Big Pot Festival” is a traditional Hindu festival. It is celebrated 4 times in 4 different cities every 12 years and lasts for several weeks each time. Hindus believe that bathing in the “holy water” of the Ganges can forgive sins, and participating in the bathing ritual of the “Tah Keh Festival” allows them to “get salvation from the cycle of life and death.” However, according to a report from the Republic of India Television, the “Great Pot Festival” not only failed to bring the “Gold Medal of Immunity” to the believers, but from April 10 to 14 alone, about 1,700 people who participated in the event were diagnosed. There is also a “guru” among them. The Indian government had to take the risk of being criticized by believers to intervene, but it only shortened the duration of the event. Returning to the “second wave of epidemic” itself, one of the characteristics compared with last year is the high rate of diagnosis. The direct impact is the astonishing speed of transmission. An article in the “India Express” on the 17th pointed out that with roughly the same number of tests, the current number of confirmed cases is about 2.5 times the peak last year, and the positive rate of tests in the past week exceeded 13%. In Maharashtra State (hereinafter referred to as “Mabang”), the most severely affected state, the positive rate exceeds 15%. 1. The “mutated virus” caused the “double mutation” virus discovered by Mabang (with E484Q and L452R mutations), which is more infectious and resistant to immunity. Both of these new mutations have been discovered before. E484Q has been reported in the United Kingdom and South Africa, and L452R has been discovered in California. Both of these mutations increase the transmission capacity and vaccine escape capacity, which may be one of the reasons for the rapid increase in the number of confirmed cases. But there is no need to be afraid. So far, all vaccines marketed in India have been reported to be effective against various virus variants [1]. More than 60% of the latest reported local viral gene sequencing samples have detected this “double mutation” virus, indicating that this virus may have spread to other places. 2. Vaccines are not enough. At present, the main means of the Indian government to fight the epidemic is to get more people vaccinated, but as of the 17th, only about 120 million people in India have been vaccinated (including only the first shot), which is far from internationally recognized There is still a big gap in the vaccination rate of 70% of the population. The enthusiasm of Indians for vaccination is not high, because some accidental deaths and severe side effects were exposed during the initial vaccination process. On April 16, I saw at the Primus Hospital in New Delhi that there were only a few people in the vaccination area. (On the morning of April 16, people waiting to enter the vaccination room. (Citizens waiting in line for the new crown test at the Primus Hospital in India.) According to medical staff, about 120 people were vaccinated that day. Now the vaccine is urgently authorized by the Indian government There are three: Covishield vaccine (“Oxford Vaccine”) jointly produced by the Serum Institute of India, Oxford University and AstraZeneca Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.; the local vaccine “Kovaxin” developed by India’s Bharat Biotech Company; Russia” Sputnik 5″ vaccine (just approved). So far, no significant adverse events have been found for these three vaccines. There are four other vaccines in the experimental stage: ZyCov-Di nucleic acid (DNA) vaccine, which is currently in the At the end of the phase 3 clinical trial, it is the most likely to be marketed locally in the near future (April to June) a locally developed vaccine; a recombinant protein vaccine, developed by India’s Biological E company and American Dynavax technology company; an mRNA vaccine, developed by India Genova and HDT Biotech jointly developed an adenovirus vector vaccine that is administered in the form of a nasal spray. The latter three vaccines are in phase 1 or phase 2 clinical trials, and it is possible to be approved and marketed in a short period of time It is not very sexual. At present, there is a “vaccine shortage” in many places in India. The Indian government said on April 13 that it will “pay more attention” to overseas new crown vaccines, including vaccines that have been authorized for emergency use in the United States, the European Union, the United Kingdom, and Japan. , And the vaccines on the WHO’s emergency use list. India is about to liberalize vaccine imports. The return of the new coronavirus in India is the double consequence of a significant increase in social activities and the neglect of prevention and control measures. The increased transmission of mutant viruses also has this effect. Contribution. The Indian epidemic is constantly affecting the progress of the global fight against the epidemic. At present, China still implements strict prevention and control policies, and while fully restoring normal economic life, it actively carries out vaccination and hopes to establish a herd immune barrier. According to the current policy, the Indian epidemic is against China The spread of the local epidemic has little impact, but the emergence of new variants of the new crown virus should not be ignored. Viral mutation monitoring should be done, and more effective new crown vaccines should be introduced when necessary. We must continue to implement protective measures and vaccination to ensure that the epidemic is complete. Before the past, you must not relax.

Last edited 5 months ago by yahoo898
5 months ago

In fact, despite the lack of a large number of necessary medical equipment and consumables to save lives, such as the oxygen that has been talking about these two days (in fact, the problem of oxygen is more like an excuse used by the Indian government to prevaricate the failure of epidemic prevention, rather than actual difficulties) , The Indian government can still learn from China’s shelter hospitals. On the issue of suppressing the unlimited spread of the epidemic, the shelter hospital does not necessarily have to achieve the results of saving people. Its fundamental purpose is to concentrate the possible sources of infection and prevent them from expanding in the crowd. As for the recovery and discharge of patients, it is a secondary method. It is mainly to create a circulation of hospital beds, allowing limited beds to continuously receive newly found sources of infection, so as to achieve the ultimate goal of absorbing all sources of infection. But the method of making hospital beds is not the only one. There is another method that can be adopted by India. Therefore, Chinese-style square cabin hospitals cannot be realized, but Indians can use their subjective initiative to build a kind of “Guru hospital.” This kind of hospital requires relatively few resources, only 35 guru or other personnel who can play the role of religious people, 20 or 30 waiters, a building, full beds, enough saline, and a big iron door. , There is a courtyard behind the building with an incinerator in the courtyard, and four or five professionals are waiting for the furnace. In this way, it forms a shelf for the front yard and the back court. The quality of Guru and professionals needs to be higher to ensure smooth progress. The waiter does not need too high quality, it is best to directly pull some hooligans to charge, as long as you learn to control the turnover rate through the bottle. Of course, it is acceptable for several units to fail and break, but the wastage rate must be controlled. Another advantage of this kind of Guru hospital is that it can carry out cremation and show the unparalleled efficiency of cremation to the patient’s family. The patient is admitted to the hospital on the same day, and the family can receive a pack of ashes home on the same day, and quickly bid farewell to all other burial methods. The troubles that may be caused will be relieved as soon as possible.

5 months ago

Our humanitarian support to India is still very necessary! You can leave any Indian people and things in the country, but India is still in contact with people and things in other countries around the world, and we cannot completely block people and things from all other countries. The United States and other Western countries do not save India because they cannot protect themselves, and no one can accurately predict when the epidemic will end (it is likely that this is a protracted war far beyond our imagination). It is currently the mud bodhisattva crossing the river, and the future is still so unknowable… CN does not express kindness because we are currently laughing at YD or just making a mouth on the dry shore, but because we have to consider our own situation in the near future. Of course, I have always been a relatively pessimist. I think the epidemic will become normal, and if those bad countries cannot thoroughly prevent the epidemic from the top down…then the only thing waiting for the world is war.

5 months ago

The Indian nation relies on its mouth to solve problems and at the same time loves face. It always thinks that China should be on par with him as a poor third world country. They also wanted to benchmark against China this time, deliberately not wanting China’s aid. At this stage of the field, it is really impossible to accept assistance. Don’t worry, they will deliberately forget it afterwards.

5 months ago

1. Pay attention to the border, and put vaccines on the borders of Yunnan, Guangxi, etc. Sooner or later, the epidemic in India will spread to Southeast Asia and other Asian, African and Latin American countries. my country’s Yunnan and Guangxi have the same roads and land as Southeast Asia. Due to the high mountains and dense forests on the border, it is difficult to blockade whether it is smuggling from Southeast Asia to work in China to work with relatives, or Chinese people sneaking past to gamble. Therefore, focusing on defense of the southwest is the key. two. When the vaccine meets the needs of China, it focuses on supporting neighboring countries such as Myanmar and Vietnam. Third, beware of the Indian military’s vain attempt to poison People’s Liberation Army soldiers through combat.

5 months ago

The Indian government is talking in sleep. The peak will never be reached in mid-May, and the peak cannot be only 500,000. There are still 20 days to go until mid-May, and India is short of doctors and medicines, and even oxygen cylinders are not enough. Although I bought some, but with the efficiency of the Indians, I don’t know when it will be all available. It is difficult to say how much aid promised by countries such as Europe and the United States can actually be implemented when all countries are overwhelmed. However, the number is absolutely limited, and we all know that India is a bottomless pit. Therefore, in the absence of medicines and medicines, India’s ability to control the epidemic in 20 days is not realistic unless the country is immediately closed. When the epidemic broke out last year, India was in a better position than it is now. It was not controlled at that time. Why should it be done now? As for the peak daily increase, you can take a pen and draw down along the Indian daily increase curve to see how much it will be in the middle of next month. The so-called peak value of 500,000 is actually that India’s current detection capability can only detect 500,000 at most. As for the impact on the global epidemic, I have a bold guess. India has exploded, can Europe and the United States be far away? In addition to more money and more vaccines in Europe and the United States than India, India has shortcomings in epidemic prevention. India will fall into the pit, Europe and the United States may also fall into it. European and American countries do not pay attention to daily control and all hopes are pinned on vaccines. At this time, if a super-mutated virus emerges that can invalidate the existing antibodies in the human body, then the world will explode.

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